Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#209
Pace70.8#99
Improvement-3.4#310

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#256
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#291
Layup/Dunks+1.1#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
Freethrows-1.4#267
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#112
First Shot+1.7#119
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks+3.5#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#121
Freethrows-2.0#293
Improvement-3.2#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 204   @ Northern Illinois L 78-80 OT 44%     0 - 1 -2.1 -0.7 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2016 166   @ Ball St. W 80-74 OT 35%     1 - 1 +8.6 -0.5 +8.4
  Nov 24, 2016 17   Iowa St. L 71-73 5%     1 - 2 +15.6 +0.5 +15.2
  Nov 25, 2016 95   Stanford L 62-65 27%     1 - 3 +1.8 -6.6 +8.3
  Nov 27, 2016 303   Quinnipiac L 77-80 76%     1 - 4 -12.0 -6.6 -5.3
  Nov 30, 2016 204   Northern Illinois W 63-52 64%     2 - 4 +5.9 -10.9 +16.7
  Dec 03, 2016 121   @ Utah St. W 62-61 27%     3 - 4 +5.9 -6.7 +12.7
  Dec 07, 2016 26   Butler W 72-71 10%     4 - 4 +13.8 +12.4 +1.5
  Dec 11, 2016 229   Western Kentucky L 59-77 70%     4 - 5 -24.8 -13.8 -12.3
  Dec 17, 2016 100   @ Valparaiso L 71-89 21%     4 - 6 -11.0 -1.9 -8.0
  Dec 21, 2016 225   Eastern Illinois W 88-85 2OT 69%     5 - 6 -3.6 +0.1 -4.2
  Dec 28, 2016 9   Wichita St. L 72-80 6%     5 - 7 0 - 1 +8.0 +9.3 -1.6
  Dec 31, 2016 130   @ Missouri St. L 75-81 OT 29%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -1.7 -2.6 +1.3
  Jan 04, 2017 144   @ Southern Illinois L 74-80 OT 31%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -2.3 -2.0 +0.2
  Jan 07, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 58-77 22%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -12.3 +4.8 -21.2
  Jan 11, 2017 255   @ Drake L 70-87 55%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -19.9 -11.5 -6.9
  Jan 14, 2017 199   Bradley W 81-71 62%     6 - 11 1 - 5 +5.3 +1.0 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2017 130   Missouri St. L 68-73 47%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -5.8 -6.2 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2017 9   @ Wichita St. L 58-84 3%     6 - 13 1 - 7 -4.9 -6.2 +1.9
  Jan 25, 2017 59   @ Illinois St. L 66-71 11%     6 - 14 1 - 8 +6.8 +7.8 -1.3
  Jan 28, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago L 66-81 38%     6 - 15 1 - 9 -13.4 -1.6 -12.9
  Feb 01, 2017 154   Evansville W 85-84 OT 52%     7 - 15 2 - 9 -1.0 +9.6 -10.6
  Feb 04, 2017 153   @ Northern Iowa L 60-65 33%     7 - 16 2 - 10 -1.9 +1.4 -3.9
  Feb 08, 2017 199   @ Bradley W 56-54 43%     8 - 16 3 - 10 +2.4 -11.6 +14.1
  Feb 11, 2017 255   Drake W 84-60 73%     9 - 16 4 - 10 +16.0 +1.1 +13.5
  Feb 15, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 46-64 22%     9 - 17 4 - 11 -11.3 -18.7 +5.4
  Feb 19, 2017 144   Southern Illinois L 68-74 49%     9 - 18 4 - 12 -7.4 -2.5 -5.1
  Feb 22, 2017 153   Northern Iowa W 69-59 52%     10 - 18 5 - 12 +8.0 +9.4 +0.0
  Feb 25, 2017 154   @ Evansville L 63-65 33%     10 - 19 5 - 13 +1.1 -6.1 +7.1
  Mar 02, 2017 154   Evansville L 72-83 42%     10 - 20 -10.4 -2.6 -7.5
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%